dogleg yarn

Saturday, October 12, 2013

看戲觀戲 (6)



多空論戰, 看似落幕但曲終人不散
看多依然想東山再起
空方精神領袖, David Einhorn不認同 Gree mountain Coffee 業積
相對 GMCR 內部經理人在股价 75-85之間又作買入, 指為
看好公司前景, 增加持股以明志

查閱 ICO composite indicator Price 十月份价格往上, 話說目前
Coffee 豆价格應在底部方是. 有利空方看壞. GMCR 股价
後市表現

但我評, 价巳至下支撑臨界点, 但反轉向上回到80以上. 在未來4-5
個月, 作出2013 May - Feb 2014 一個大 Daimond 線型也不無可能, 要是補了60.00 那個往上跳空, 那後市評論就得另議
唯Coffee 豆价格回升漲多少而論

多空在GMCR, 能有幾人得利,.端看今日股价表現, 追高殺低者眾
股价評論又看多者為主

看戲觀戲 , 學學就好


David Einhorn
David Einhorn
  • Founder & President, Greenlight Capital
  • Bachelor of Arts / Science, Cornell University
  • Net Worth
     
    $1.4 B As of September 2013
David Einhorn wrote in a letter to Greenlight Capital investors that he has ratcheted up his short position in the stock.

10/9
Green Mountain Coffee volatility elevated as shares trend lower 
Green Mountain Coffee October weekly call option implied volatility is at 63, November is at 64, December is at 65; compared to its 26-week average of 54 according to Track Data, suggesting large near term price movement


 The table below details the recent insider buying activity observed at GMCR:

GMCR — last trade: $75.71 — Recent Insider Buys:

PurchasedInsiderTitleSharesPrice/ShareValue
08/15/2013A. D. David MackayDirector14,000$75.14$1,051,936.20
08/27/2013Susan S. KilsbyDirector3,000$85.47$256,398.00




以月線, +月下旬如股价不能反轉收>80. 則頭部初步成立. 11月後空方再出力
加空即可




Coffee 价格回升應是可期. 縱是coffee buyer依然手握不少空單, 看衰
价格一時回不來, 但能抓到最低買点,除非專家的專家在這個Field能有幾人?, 這
時能投入關注是好決策


Coffee Arabica Price Chart












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